Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.893690 2.190472 2.516680 2.901588 3.343117 3.833539 4.419393
2025-03-16 1.421657 1.794489 2.239305 2.808230 3.515729 4.365791 5.463975
2025-03-23 1.201068 1.636068 2.193412 2.957799 3.976816 5.286360 7.094970
2025-03-30 1.015979 1.482293 2.119281 3.049208 4.368093 6.167125 8.802686
2025-04-06 0.849302 1.319452 2.000328 3.052410 4.630567 6.902117 10.410983
2025-04-13 0.680628 1.121304 1.795199 2.892879 4.627035 7.249820 11.503286
2025-04-20 0.603819 1.048929 1.763826 2.984804 5.005387 8.199390 13.608467
2025-04-27 0.551993 1.007032 1.771681 3.135773 5.491250 9.367914 16.197293
2025-05-04 0.494702 0.945424 1.735928 3.205334 5.846252 10.360376 18.611980
2025-05-11 0.440981 0.880799 1.684121 3.236590 6.134140 11.266487 20.979241
2025-05-18 0.380016 0.792319 1.575624 3.147503 6.190168 11.767556 22.680207
2025-05-25 0.321394 0.698630 1.443199 2.992792 6.099672 11.985864 23.877386
2025-06-01 0.287761 0.651805 1.397862 3.007163 6.346919 12.881848 26.503035
2025-06-08 0.249847 0.589653 1.312602 2.928552 6.398670 13.408852 28.478322
2025-06-15 0.237951 0.582977 1.342436 3.095680 6.978834 15.052686 32.897849
2025-06-22 0.221850 0.563957 1.342645 3.198215 7.434494 16.494364 37.070015
2025-06-29 0.200782 0.529528 1.303177 3.205767 7.681898 17.525397 40.488331
2025-07-06 0.171524 0.469788 1.196114 3.040870 7.516155 17.641380 41.914708
2025-07-13 0.161245 0.456827 1.198944 3.138803 7.975044 19.196463 46.756312
2025-07-20 0.155037 0.453606 1.225289 3.298207 8.601450 21.203228 52.867617
2025-07-27 0.144981 0.438140 1.218230 3.371808 9.025672 22.784175 58.150767
2025-08-03 0.134053 0.418317 1.196854 3.404969 9.351634 24.165567 63.106397
2025-08-10 0.119107 0.384132 1.131745 3.311600 9.337054 24.710223 66.052462